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STARLING QUANTITATIVE MULTI-AGENT FACTOR CONSENSUS
Starling Quantitative Swarm Network
MULTI-AGENT FACTOR QUORUM // COLLECTIVE2 #158114255

FROM MARKET NOISE
TO MATHEMATICAL CONSENSUS.

Starling Quantitative is an autonomous quantitative research and capital allocation desk. Like a starling murmuration, specialized AI analysts evaluate established factor anomalies, debate counter-theses through adversarial Bull/Bear/Risk quorums, and size capital with Quarter-Kelly discipline.

COLLECTIVE2 SHOWCASE // EPOCH STARTS MON NOV 2, 2026 (09:30 ET)
STRATEGY ID: #158114255 ↗ --:--:-- UTC
C2 SHOWCASE TRADES NOV 2 EPOCH
0
Epoch synced 1:1 with Collective2 #158114255 (Starts Mon Nov 2)
Third-party NBBO timestamped execution audit
SHOWCASE RETURN $50K MODEL
0.00%
$50,000.00 Starting Model Equity
Multi-factor equity sleeves + U.S. T-Bill cash reserve
VS. S&P 500 (SPY) BENCHMARK
0.00%
$50,000 Model Baseline (Nov 2, 2026)
Daily mark-to-market alpha vs. S&P 500
GATE 1 BURN-IN PASSED
2.62 PF
72.7% Win Rate • +1.22% vs SPY
10-Day Live Burn-In (Oct 19 – Oct 30, 2026)
SYNCHRONIZED 1:1 WITH COLLECTIVE2 STRATEGY #158114255
Following our 10-day live engineering burn-in (+1.22% alpha vs. SPY, 2.62 Profit Factor), forward Showcase tracking begins Monday, November 2, 2026 at 09:30 ET simultaneously on this site and Collective2.
01 / PHILOSOPHY

Why Monolithic Prompts Fail in Financial Markets

Single Models Hallucinate.
Deliberative Committees Converge.

When a single language model attempts to summarize fundamentals, score technical momentum, and size a trade inside one prompt loop, confirmation bias and specification errors compound directly into portfolio drawdowns.

// MONOLITHIC BIAS

Unchallenged Single-Agent Inference

Single-agent prompts routinely anchor on surface-level headlines while overlooking balance-sheet dilution, wide bid-ask spreads, or adverse sector correlation. Without structured adversarial critique, noisy signals masquerade as high-conviction setups.

// THE INVESTMENT COMMITTEE MODEL

Structured Bull, Bear & Risk Debate

Starling Quantitative organizes specialized agents into an explicit multi-stage deliberation pipeline: factor analysts propose candidates, dedicated Bear auditors construct the strongest disconfirming case, and a deterministic Risk Officer enforces hard exposure ceilings.

02 / ARCHITECTURE

3-Stage Systematic Consensus Pipeline

Separation of Concerns.
Factor Screening, Debate & Sizing.

Our architecture separates quantitative factor screening, multi-agent adversarial review, and portfolio risk allocation into three isolated stages. Proprietary execution parameterization is maintained strictly off-public-ledger.

STAGE 01 // SYSTEMATIC FACTOR SCREENING

Classical Cross-Sectional & Event Factors

Domain-specific screening modules evaluate established empirical anomalies across liquid U.S. equities and event venues, including trend breakouts, volatility contraction, post-earnings drift, RSI mean-reversion, and devigged prediction-market probabilities.

FACTOR GENERATION
STAGE 02 // ADVERSARIAL BULL / BEAR DELIBERATION

Multi-Agent Thesis Stress-Testing

Candidate setups enter a structured debate loop where independent Bear and Fundamental audit agents challenge earnings quality, macro regime alignment, and transaction-cost drag before scoring consensus conviction.

QUORUM DELIBERATION
STAGE 03 // PORTFOLIO RISK & QUARTER-KELLY SIZING

Constrained Sizing & Disciplined Rebalancing

Approved positions are sized using Quarter-Kelly (`c = 0.25`) principles subject to sector concentration caps, systematic stop-loss discipline, and out-of-sample Brier score calibration via Discounted Thompson Sampling.

RISK DISCIPLINE
03 / FACTOR SLEEVES

Empirical Foundations & Academic Literature

Grounded in Empirical Finance.
Validated Out-of-Sample.

Rather than relying on black-box curve fitting, our research sleeves build upon decades of peer-reviewed market anomalies combined with structured multi-agent verification.

#
Factor Sleeve
Theoretical Basis & Evaluation Discipline
1.
Cross-Sectional Momentum & Breakouts
Jegadeesh & Titman (1993)
Evaluates medium-horizon relative strength, moving-average trend alignment (`20d / 50d`), and volatility contraction breakouts confirmed by institutional volume expansion.
2.
Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
Bernard & Thomas (1989)
Captures multi-day fundamental under-reaction following standardized unexpected earnings (`SUE`) surprises and upward guidance revisions once fundamental audit agents verify cash-flow quality.
3.
Corporate Event & Governance Disclosures
Public Regulatory Filings
Synthesizes public capital-allocation disclosures, share repurchase authorizations, and governance filings through multi-agent fundamental review to separate durable catalysts from noise.
4.
Short-Horizon Mean Reversion
Lehmann (1990) • Wilder RSI
Identifies temporary liquidity-driven oversold dislocations (`RSI < 30`) in profitable, low-leverage businesses where Bear audit agents find zero structural thesis impairment.
5.
Devigged Implied Probability Consensus
Shin (1993) • Power Method
Extracts true benchmark event probabilities from prediction-market order books by stripping asymmetric favorite-longshot overround prior to cross-asset expected-value scoring.
04 / LIVE SIMULATOR

Multi-Agent Committee Console

Inspect Quorum Deliberation
In Dynamic Real Time.

Simulate how candidate factor signals pass through Bull, Bear, and Risk Officer nodes before approval.

LIVE_TOPOLOGY // BULL-BEAR-RISK DELIBERATION MESH
// QUORUM DELIBERATION LOG
[SYSTEM_INIT] QUORUM_READY: Bull, Bear, and Portfolio Risk nodes synchronized.
[RISK_ENGINE] KELLY_LOCK: Quarter-Kelly sizing (c = 0.25) & sector concentration caps active.
05 / SPECIFICATIONS

Published System Framework

Disciplined Governance.
Audited Outcomes.

While proprietary execution timing and microstructure parameters remain confidential trade secrets, every Showcase outcome is audited publicly via third-party ledger.

Deliberation Architecture Multi-Agent Bull / Bear / Risk Officer Quorum
Position Sizing Law Constrained Quarter-Kelly (c = 0.25) & Covariance Caps
Probability Calibration Power & Shin Devigging + Out-of-Sample Murphy Brier Score
Weight Adaptation Discounted Thompson Sampling (λ = 0.98)
Third-Party Verification Collective2 Strategy #158114255 ($50,000 Model Portfolio)
FEATURED RESEARCH NOTE // RN-03

Adversarial Multi-Agent Quorums & Systematic Factor Consensus

Role-separated Bull, Bear, and Risk Officer governance across Momentum, PEAD, and Mean-Reversion sleeves.

READ RN-03 →
06 / TRANSMISSION

Direct Inquiries & Collaboration

Connect with the Architect.

Starling Quantitative combines multi-agent consensus, empirical factor research, and disciplined risk management across equities and event markets.

// FOUNDER & QUANTITATIVE ARCHITECT

Greg Meade

Founder & Quantitative Systems Architect • Autonomous Trading Systems • Distributed Cloud Infrastructure

Interested in quantitative research discourse or platform integration?

We collaborate with quantitative research teams, copy-trading marketplaces, and data partners. Direct inquiries are welcome below.